Xi Jinping out before 2027? — live odds
5%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$9K
24h volume
$11.5M
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 32d ago
High volatility
±26.6¢ swing band
- 32d ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 68¢ (+63.8¢ in 15 min)
- 32d ago
High volatility
±65.7¢ swing band
- 32d ago
Odds swing
6¢ → 35¢ (+29.2¢ in 15 min)
- 32d ago
High volatility
±32.7¢ swing band
- 32d ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 95¢ (+25¢ in 15 min)
- 32d ago
High volatility
±44¢ swing band
- 32d ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 96¢ (+35.9¢ in 15 min)
- 32d ago
High volatility
±30.7¢ swing band
- 32d ago
Odds swing
40¢ → 0¢ (-39.8¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Xi Jinping out before 2027?"?
The market currently prices YES at 5¢ and NO at 95¢, an implied probability of 5% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$11.5M has been traded in total, $9K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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