Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? — live odds

"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?" is trading at a 8% implied probability, with YES at 8¢ and NO at 93¢. $2.8M has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

implied probability

YES 8¢NO 93¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$2.8M

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±3.5¢ swing band
41d ago
Odds swing
48¢ → 39¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
41d ago
High volatility
±7.2¢ swing band
41d ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 63¢ (-27¢ in 15 min)
41d ago
High volatility
±4.1¢ swing band
41d ago
Odds swing
72¢ → 95¢ (+23¢ in 15 min)
41d ago
High volatility
±5.2¢ swing band
41d ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 5¢ (-94¢ in 15 min)
41d ago
High volatility
±28.3¢ swing band
41d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.