TL;DR
- 🐋 $135K whale sell hits Fed rate decrease market, influencing price by 99¢
- Ethereum dip odds reprice by 45.6¢ downwards
- Anthropic IPO market sees volume spike 20612× average
📈 The big moves
| Market | Move | Now | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September? | ▼ -45.6¢ | 3¢ (3%) | N/A |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | ▼ -45.0¢ | 30¢ (30%) | N/A |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | ▲ +26.0¢ | 57¢ (57%) | N/A |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | ▲ +23.5¢ | 34.5¢ (34.5%) | N/A |
The most significant price movement saw "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?" reprice downwards by 45.6¢. This market will resolve based on Ethereum's price performance by the end of the month. For more insights on how to interpret these movements, see our how to read Polymarket like a pro guide.
🐋 Whale watch
A major whale activity involved a $135K SELL in the market "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?", which saw a price influence of 99¢. This was followed by a $50K BUY in the same market, influencing the price by 99.4¢, indicating sustained interest and back-and-forth action around Fed policy. Another notable trade was a $59.7K SELL in the "Trump out as President before 2027?" market, with an 88¢ price impact.
📊 Volume spikes
| Market | Volume | vs average |
|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | $2.2K | 20612× |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | $1.1K | 31.8× |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12? | $880 | 10.6× |
Volume for "Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?" surged 20612 times its average, highlighting intense trading activity surrounding the potential IPO. Bitcoin price markets also saw significant volume spikes as traders reacted to recent price movements. You can track similar trends in tech prediction markets.
🗓️ Resolving soon
Several markets are resolving in the next 48 hours, including "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs" and the "Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?" market. Political outcomes like "Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?" also conclude soon.
PolyWatch pushes whale trades like these the moment they land — free on iOS and Android.
