Which outcome is favored for Brazil Presidential Election?

The market currently favors "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" at 61% implied probability (YES trading at 61¢).

How much has been traded on Brazil Presidential Election?

$114.1M has been traded across 17 outcome markets, $139K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 4, 2026.

Event odds table

Brazil Presidential Election — live odds

17 outcomes$114.1M traded$139K · 24hresolves by October 4, 2026

1Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

61%61¢ · $15K 24h 2Flávio Bolsonaro

26%26¢ · $6K 24h 3Renan Santos

9%9¢ · $17K 24h 4Michelle Bolsonaro

2%2¢ · $9K 24h 5Ronaldo Caiado

1%1¢ · $5K 24h 6Jair Bolsonaro

1%1¢ · $5K 24h 7Romeu Zema

1%1¢ · $11K 24h 8Camilo Santana

1%1¢ · $21K 24h 9Fernando Haddad

0%0¢ · $15K 24h 10Geraldo Alckmin

0%0¢ · $7K 24h 11Tarcisio de Freitas

0%0¢ · $11K 24h 12Eduardo Bolsonaro

0%0¢ · $7K 24h 13Tereza Cristina

0%0¢ · $5K 24h 14Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 15Eduardo Leite

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 16Aldo Rebelo

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 17Helder Barbalho

0%0¢ · $1K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Brazil Presidential Election?: The market currently favors "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" at 61% implied probability (YES trading at 61¢).
How much has been traded on Brazil Presidential Election?: $114.1M has been traded across 17 outcome markets, $139K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 4, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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