Event odds table
Brazil Presidential Election — live odds
19 outcomes$143.5M traded$1.2M · 24hresolves by October 4, 2026
Live Brazil Presidential Election odds: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads the field at 55% implied probability, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro (41%) and Augusto Cury (2%). All 19 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $143.5M traded ($1.2M in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 55%
implied probability (55¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 19
1Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
55%55¢ · $85K 24h2Flávio Bolsonaro
41%41¢ · $86K 24h3Augusto Cury
2%2¢ · $431K 24h4Renan Santos
2%2¢ · $155K 24h5Pablo Marçal
0%0¢ · $264K 24h6Ronaldo Caiado
0%0¢ · $38K 24h7Romeu Zema
0%0¢ · $47K 24h8Jair Bolsonaro
0%0¢ · $13K 24h9Tarcisio de Freitas
0%0¢ · $316 24h10Eduardo Bolsonaro
0%0¢ · $98 24h11Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior
0%0¢ · $8 24h12Michelle Bolsonaro
0%0¢ · $6 24h13Eduardo Leite
0%0¢ · — 24h14Fernando Haddad
0%0¢ · $1K 24h15Geraldo Alckmin
0%0¢ · $41K 24h16Camilo Santana
0%0¢ · $2K 24h17Aldo Rebelo
0%0¢ · $15 24h18Tereza Cristina
0%0¢ · $29 24h19Helder Barbalho
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Brazil Presidential Election?
- The market currently favors Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 55% implied probability (YES trading at 55¢).
- How much has been traded on Brazil Presidential Election?
- $143.5M has been traded across 19 outcome markets, $1.2M of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 4, 2026.
Get alerts on every outcome
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