
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18? — final odds
"Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18?" resolved on October 18, 2026 at a final price of 11¢ YES — a 12% implied probability — after $3K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
12%
implied probability
recent price
+2¢ over the window
+2¢
24h change
$2K
24h volume
$3K
total volume
Oct 18, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 3h ago
High volatility
±26.3¢ swing band
- 4h ago
High volatility
±7.8¢ swing band
- 4h ago
Odds swing
14¢ → 22¢ (+8.7¢ in 15 min)
- 4h ago
Volume spike
$21 traded — 25.9× the average
- 4h ago
High volatility
±5.4¢ swing band
- 4h ago
Volume spike
$130 traded — 163.2× the average
- 4h ago
Volume spike
$25 traded — 31.4× the average
- 5h ago
Volume spike
$20 traded — 25.1× the average
- 5h ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
- 5h ago
High volatility
±39.5¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Quick answers
How did "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18?" resolve?
This market ended on October 18, 2026 with a final traded price of 11¢ YES (12% implied probability).
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 11¢ — an implied probability of 12%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$3K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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