
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28? — final odds
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$18K
24h volume
$31K
total volume
Jul 28, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Quick answers
How did "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on July 28, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$31K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Science markets
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
6%
Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
New pandemic in 2026?
9%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
12%
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
0%