
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 5? — final odds
"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 5?" resolved NO on September 5, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $26K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-3¢ over the window
-3¢
24h change
$25K
24h volume
$26K
total volume
Sep 5, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 2h ago
High volatility
±35.6¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 15¢ (+14.8¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±45¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±54.3¢ swing band
- 3h ago
Volume spike
$1,098 traded — 62.1× the average
- 3h ago
High volatility
±41.7¢ swing band
- 3h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 15¢ (+14.7¢ in 15 min)
- 3h ago
High volatility
±57.7¢ swing band
- 3h ago
Odds swing
15¢ → 0¢ (-14.7¢ in 15 min)
- 3h ago
High volatility
±61.4¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Quick answers
How did "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 5?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on September 5, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$26K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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