Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 31? final odds

Resolved NO · July 31, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 31?" resolved NO on July 31, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $31K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$28K

24h volume

$31K

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Volume spike

    $1,000 traded — 63.2× the average

    5h ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,000 traded — 60.8× the average

    7h ago
  • Odds swing

    10¢ → 0¢ (-9.9¢ in 15 min)

    9h ago
  • Volume spike

    $71 traded — 4.4× the average

    10h ago
  • Volume spike

    $844 traded — 51.7× the average

    10h ago
  • conviction signal

    10h ago
  • Volume spike

    $68 traded — 4× the average

    10h ago
  • Odds swing

    99¢ → 0¢ (-98.8¢ in 15 min)

    10h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.5¢ swing band

    11h ago
  • Odds swing

    9¢ → 97¢ (+88¢ in 15 min)

    11h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Quick answers

How did "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 31?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 31, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$31K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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