Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? — final odds

This market has ended · August 18, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?" resolved on August 18, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $6.5M in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$3.8M

24h volume

$6.5M

total volume

Aug 18, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
67¢ → 3¢ (-64¢ in 15 min)
116d ago
High volatility
±19.3¢ swing band
116d ago
High volatility
±23¢ swing band
116d ago
Odds swing
75¢ → 60¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)
116d ago
High volatility
±10¢ swing band
116d ago
High volatility
±20.2¢ swing band
116d ago
High volatility
±42.8¢ swing band
116d ago
High volatility
±18.2¢ swing band
116d ago
High volatility
±38.1¢ swing band
116d ago
High volatility
±23.2¢ swing band
116d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Quick answers

How did "Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?" resolve?

This market ended on August 18, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.