Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? — live odds

Part of SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?· see all 6 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $6K has changed hands so far, $170 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by July 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this science market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$170

24h volume

$6K

total volume

Jul 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 15th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 15th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 15th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 15th launch, and this market will stay open until the 15th launch has occurred. If the 15th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.