Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — live odds
"Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $791K has changed hands so far, $2K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$2K
24h volume
$791K
total volume
Nov 7, 2028
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.
How much has been traded on this market?
$791K has been traded in total, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Politics markets
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%