Event odds table

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 — live odds
7 outcomes$369K traded$3K · 24hresolves by September 16, 2026
Live SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 odds: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? leads the field at 88% implied probability, ahead of Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? (10%) and Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? (4%). All 7 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $369K traded ($3K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 16, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? 88%
implied probability (88¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 7
1Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
88%88¢ · $240 24h2Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?
10%10¢ · $532 24h3Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
4%4¢ · $1K 24h4Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
—— · $591 24h5Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
—— · $101 24h6Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?
—— · $12 24h7Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?
—— · $542 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?
- The market currently favors Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? at 88% implied probability (YES trading at 88¢).
- How much has been traded on SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?
- $369K has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 16, 2026.