Event odds table

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 — live odds

7 outcomes$369K traded$3K · 24hresolves by September 16, 2026

Live SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 odds: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? leads the field at 88% implied probability, ahead of Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? (10%) and Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? (4%). All 7 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $369K traded ($3K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 16, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? 88%

implied probability (88¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 7

Full market details →

About this event

Which outcome is favored for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?
The market currently favors Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? at 88% implied probability (YES trading at 88¢).
How much has been traded on SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?
$369K has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?
The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 16, 2026.

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