Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? final odds

This market has ended · August 4, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 9% implied probability.

"Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?" resolved on August 4, 2026 at a final price of 9¢ YES — a 9% implied probability — after $7K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

9%

implied probability

YES NO 91¢

recent price

+23¢ over the window

+23¢

24h change

$4K

24h volume

$7K

total volume

Aug 4, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±27.6¢ swing band

    8h ago
  • Odds swing

    78¢ → 26¢ (-52¢ in 15 min)

    8h ago
  • Volume spike

    $99 traded — 36.5× the average

    8h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.9¢ swing band

    8h ago
  • Odds swing

    27¢ → 98¢ (+71¢ in 15 min)

    8h ago
  • High volatility

    ±15.9¢ swing band

    9h ago
  • Odds swing

    17¢ → 76¢ (+59¢ in 15 min)

    9h ago
  • High volatility

    ±10.1¢ swing band

    9h ago
  • Volume spike

    $10 traded — 3.6× the average

    9h ago
  • High volatility

    ±46.1¢ swing band

    9h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Quick answers

How did "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?" resolve?

This market ended on August 4, 2026 with a final traded price of 9¢ YES (9% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 9¢ — an implied probability of 9%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$7K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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